L’École des cotes

Gwangju FC v FC Seoul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 10:30 UTC

Score final : Gwangju FC 0–1 FC Seoul

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prévision 13.14%7.61cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +0.318%
Kelly +0.365%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 7.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.81%13.21%13.17%14.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.906.866.757.8016.95%14.58%14.81%12.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Seoul (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.57%1.53cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -3.40%
Kelly -10.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.67%65.55%65.48%67.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.311.391.401.4576.34%71.78%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.29%4.70cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.241%
Kelly +0.306%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.90%21.24%21.35%22.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.254.204.7525.32%23.55%23.81%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +2.48%E +0.318%K +0.365%G +0.009%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.25%EV -10.17%E -7.43%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 09:59
Coolbet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV +1.82%E +0.235%K +0.270%G +0.005%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.40%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 10:14
Pinnacle7.69I 13.00%NM 12.53%EV +1.04%E +0.135%K +0.155%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.47%EV -4.93%E -3.40%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.26%E -0.493%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 10:24
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.15%E +0.241%K +0.306%G +0.004%5.8%2026-05-12 09:25
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 09:24
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 09:24
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -2.05%E -0.445%K -0.569%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 10:24
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.61%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 10:24
BetOnline.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.77%E -0.375%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 10:14
LowVig.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.77%E -0.375%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 10:14
Marathon Bet7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -4.09%E -0.560%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 10:14
1xBet7.29I 13.72%NM 12.85%EV -4.22%E -0.579%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.51%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 10:20
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -4.93%E -3.40%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 10:20
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 10:14
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 10:09
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 10:24
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 09:23
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 10:10
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 10:09
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 09:24
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 09:24
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 09:24
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -12.80%E -9.62%K -38.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 10:19
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 10:24
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:10
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:10
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:10
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.04%EV -11.48%E -8.51%K -32.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 10:09
Betsson6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -11.97%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 10:15
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-12 09:29
NetBet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.15%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.22%EV -14.11%E -10.77%K -45.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.63%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-12 10:20
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -15.91%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.26%EV -8.86%E -6.37%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -17.88%E -2.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 10:14
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.04%EV -18.54%E -2.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -11.48%E -8.51%K -32.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -13.76%E -3.40%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:19
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -22.48%E -3.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-12 10:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%1.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.8%2026-05-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.8%2026-05-12 10:24
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Smarkets8.40I 11.90%NM 11.64%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-05-12 10:24