The School of Odds

FC Seoul v Gangwon FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 10:30 UTC

Final: FC Seoul 0–0 Gangwon FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Seoul (Local)

Prediction 40.27%2.48fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.26%40.30%40.27%42.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.122.292.302.4347%44%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Gangwon FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.94%3.46fair odd
EV +3.61%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%28.86%28.92%30.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.883.103.103.5835%32%32%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.79%3.25fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.66%30.84%30.82%32.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.953.1536%34%34%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -10.60%E -4.77%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV +3.61%E +1.01%K +1.40%G +0.051%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%EV -8.87%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 10:25
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV +3.61%E +1.01%K +1.40%G +0.051%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -8.87%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 10:25
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -2.14%E -0.880%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -1.02%E -0.297%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -6.41%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 10:20
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.23%EV -9.49%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 10:24
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.23%EV -9.49%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 10:24
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 10:15
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 09:49
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 10:09
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 09:49
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.02%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 05:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 09:40
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -6.57%E -2.83%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -9.80%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 10:24
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 10:09
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.34%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 10:09
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.18%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 09:49
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.18%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 05:14
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 10:24
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 05:14
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 09:50
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.86%EV -12.21%E -5.60%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.40%EV -9.80%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 10:03
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 10:09
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-12 10:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 09:44
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.97%EV -14.62%E -6.90%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-12 10:24
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 10:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 05:14
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 10:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -6.17%E -2.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 10:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 10:24
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 10:24
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:39
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:39
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:19
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:19
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:18
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 05:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-12 09:49
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.11%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -16.65%E -5.78%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-12 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-07-12 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-07-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-07-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-07-12 10:14
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-07-12 10:15
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-07-12 10:25