The School of Odds

FC Seoul v Gangwon FC

2026-07-12 10:30 — K League 1

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

Option 1: FC Seoul (Local)

Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.3841.93%Mean
2.4041.67%Median
2.5040.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.15%2.692Min
38.69%2.585Max
38.18%2.619Mean
38.13%2.623Median
38.14%2.622IQM
38.16%2.621Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.50 under the IQM model: 38.14%

EV -4.65%Edge -1.86%Kelly -3.10%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Gangwon FC (Visit)

Odds
2.7037.04%Min
2.9334.12%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.1331.95%Max
Consensus probabilities
30.34%3.296Min
31.93%3.132Max
30.64%3.263Mean
30.50%3.278Median
30.58%3.270IQM
30.61%3.266Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.13 under the IQM model: 30.58%

EV -4.29%Edge -1.37%Kelly -2.01%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.7536.36%Min
2.9134.35%Mean
2.9034.48%Median
3.0532.79%Max
Consensus probabilities
30.22%3.309Min
32.51%3.076Max
31.17%3.208Mean
31.37%3.188Median
31.28%3.197IQM
31.23%3.202Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.05 under the IQM model: 31.28%

EV -4.59%Edge -1.51%Kelly -2.24%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC Seoul (Local) ▼Gangwon FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00% NM 38.15%EV -4.65% E -1.86% K -3.10% G +0.000%3.13I 31.95% NM 30.47%EV -4.29% E -1.37% K -2.01% G +0.000%3.04I 32.89% NM 31.38%EV -4.91% E -1.61% K -2.40% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 11:55
1xBet2.45I 40.82% NM 38.25%EV -6.56% E -2.68% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 30.72%EV -6.74% E -2.21% K -3.29% G +0.000%3.02I 33.11% NM 31.03%EV -5.53% E -1.83% K -2.74% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 11:00
SportsBet2.45I 40.82% NM 37.97%EV -6.56% E -2.68% K -4.52% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.53%EV -9.79% E -3.32% K -5.02% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 30.50%EV -4.59% E -1.51% K -2.24% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 10:55
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82% NM 37.78%EV -6.56% E -2.68% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.85%EV -8.26% E -2.75% K -4.13% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.37%EV -7.72% E -2.62% K -3.96% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 13:00
William Hill2.45I 40.82% NM 37.15%EV -6.56% E -2.68% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.34%EV -8.26% E -2.75% K -4.13% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.51%EV -12.41% E -4.43% K -6.90% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 11:44
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82% NM 37.15%EV -6.56% E -2.68% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.34%EV -8.26% E -2.75% K -4.13% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.51%EV -12.41% E -4.43% K -6.90% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 11:45
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15% NM 38.40%EV -7.32% E -3.01% K -5.12% G +0.000%3.04I 32.89% NM 30.70%EV -7.04% E -2.32% K -3.45% G +0.000%3.02I 33.11% NM 30.90%EV -5.53% E -1.83% K -2.74% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:55
NordicBet2.40I 41.67% NM 38.14%EV -8.46% E -3.53% K -6.04% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.51%EV -8.26% E -2.75% K -4.13% G +0.000%2.92I 34.25% NM 31.35%EV -8.66% E -2.97% K -4.51% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:55
Betsson2.40I 41.67% NM 38.14%EV -8.46% E -3.53% K -6.04% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.51%EV -8.26% E -2.75% K -4.13% G +0.000%2.92I 34.25% NM 31.35%EV -8.66% E -2.97% K -4.51% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67% NM 38.06%EV -8.46% E -3.53% K -6.04% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.45%EV -8.26% E -2.75% K -4.13% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.50%EV -9.29% E -3.20% K -4.89% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 10:55
Fanatics2.40I 41.67% NM 38.06%EV -8.46% E -3.53% K -6.04% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.45%EV -8.26% E -2.75% K -4.13% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.50%EV -9.29% E -3.20% K -4.89% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 11:00
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67% NM 37.97%EV -8.46% E -3.53% K -6.04% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 31.65%EV -11.93% E -4.14% K -6.35% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.38%EV -6.16% E -2.05% K -3.08% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-05 11:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67% NM 37.25%EV -8.46% E -3.53% K -6.04% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.93%EV -14.38% E -5.14% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.83%EV -9.29% E -3.20% K -4.89% G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 11:20
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55% NM 38.16%EV -10.37% E -4.41% K -7.68% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.92%EV -11.32% E -3.90% K -5.96% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.92%EV -9.29% E -3.20% K -4.89% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 10:55
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48% NM 37.41%EV -12.28% E -5.34% K -9.44% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 31.87%EV -17.44% E -6.46% K -10.26% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 30.73%EV -12.41% E -4.43% K -6.90% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-05 11:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44% NM 38.69%EV -14.18% E -6.30% K -11.35% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.09%EV -14.38% E -5.14% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 30.22%EV -9.91% E -3.44% K -5.27% G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-05 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44% NM 38.56%EV -14.18% E -6.30% K -11.35% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 30.99%EV -14.38% E -5.14% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 30.45%EV -10.85% E -3.81% K -5.86% G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-05 10:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45% NM 38.24%EV -16.09% E -7.31% K -13.41% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 31.16%EV -17.44% E -6.46% K -10.26% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 30.59%EV -13.98% E -5.08% K -7.99% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-05 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerFC Seoul (Local)Gangwon FC (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%3.10I 32.26%2.74I 36.50%8.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%3.10I 32.26%2.74I 36.50%8.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%3.10I 32.26%2.74I 36.50%8.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%2.52I 39.68%2.66I 37.59%26.3%2026-07-05 12:20