La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Seoul v Gangwon FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Seoul (Local)
Predicción 40.27%2.48momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.26%40.30%40.27%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.292.302.4347.17%43.68%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gangwon FC (Visitante)
Predicción 28.94%3.46momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.051%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.06%28.86%28.92%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.103.103.5834.72%32.25%32.26%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.79%3.25momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -0.960%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.66%30.84%30.82%32.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.962.953.1535.71%33.82%33.90%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -10.60%E -4.77%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV +3.61%E +1.01%K +1.40%G +0.051% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%EV -8.87%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV +3.61%E +1.01%K +1.40%G +0.051% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -8.87%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -2.14%E -0.880%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -1.02%E -0.297%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -6.41%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.23%EV -9.49%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.23%EV -9.49%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-12 10:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 09:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 10:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 09:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.02%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 05:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 09:40 |
| Bovada | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -6.57%E -2.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -9.80%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 10:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.34%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 10:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.18%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 09:49 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.18%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 05:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 05:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.86%EV -12.21%E -5.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.40%EV -9.80%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 10:03 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 10:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-12 09:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.97%EV -14.62%E -6.90%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 05:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -6.17%E -2.65%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 09:39 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 09:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 10:18 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-12 05:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-12 09:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.11%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -16.65%E -5.78%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 10:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.92% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |