L’École des cotes

FC Seoul v Gangwon FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 10:30 UTC

Score final : FC Seoul 0–0 Gangwon FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Seoul (Local)

Prévision 40.27%2.48cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.880%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.26%40.30%40.27%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.292.302.4347.17%43.68%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gangwon FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.94%3.46cote équitable
EV +3.61%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.40%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.06%28.86%28.92%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.103.103.5834.72%32.25%32.26%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.79%3.25cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -0.960%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.66%30.84%30.82%32.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.962.953.1535.71%33.82%33.90%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -10.60%E -4.77%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV +3.61%E +1.01%K +1.40%G +0.051%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%EV -8.87%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 10:25
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV +3.61%E +1.01%K +1.40%G +0.051%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -8.87%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 10:25
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -2.14%E -0.880%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -1.02%E -0.297%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -6.41%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 10:20
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.23%EV -9.49%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 10:24
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.23%EV -9.49%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 10:24
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 10:15
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 09:49
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 10:09
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 09:49
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.02%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 05:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 09:40
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -6.57%E -2.83%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -9.80%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 10:24
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 10:09
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.34%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 10:09
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.18%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 09:49
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.18%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 05:14
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 10:24
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 05:14
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 09:50
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.86%EV -12.21%E -5.60%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.40%EV -9.80%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 10:03
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 10:09
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-12 10:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 09:44
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.97%EV -14.62%E -6.90%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-12 10:24
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 10:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 05:14
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -11.73%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 10:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -6.17%E -2.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 10:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 10:24
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 10:24
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:39
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:39
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:19
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:19
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:20
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.37%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 10:18
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 05:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-12 09:49
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.11%EV -9.39%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -16.65%E -5.78%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-12 10:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-07-12 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-07-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-07-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-07-12 10:14
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-07-12 10:15
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-07-12 10:25