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Daejeon Citizen v Ulsan Hyundai FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 38.13%2.62fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.10%38.13%38.14%39.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.5644.44%41.70%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)
Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.891%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.17%34.00%34.00%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.652.8939.22%37.34%37.74%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%27.88%27.85%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.253.5032.26%30.58%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 38.13%; Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit): 34.02%; Draw: 27.85%. For Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.89, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.38%E -0.929%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.90%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.17%EV -2.71%E -0.946%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.71%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -1.68%E -0.583%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.81%EV -3.09%E -0.888%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.37%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 09:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.49%EV -5.05%E -2.03%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.70%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -9.77%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 09:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.83%E -3.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 09:35 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.83%E -3.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 09:35 |
| Bovada | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.77%EV -6.96%E -2.85%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.88%EV -7.47%E -2.75%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 09:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -11.15%E -4.79%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 10:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-18 09:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -13.44%E -5.92%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.77%EV -12.57%E -4.89%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -14.20%E -6.31%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -14.20%E -6.31%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.61%EV -11.44%E -3.60%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-18 10:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.90% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |