The School of Odds

Daejeon Citizen v Ulsan Hyundai FC

2026-07-18 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prediction 38.05%2.63fair odd
EV -7.55%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.05%38.05%38.05%38.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.352.352.4343%42%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV -7.28%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%33.11%33.11%33.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.712.702.8038%37%37%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV -7.71%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.50%28.84%28.84%28.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.153.153.2033%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.55%E -3.11%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 10:54
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:54
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:54
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:54
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:55
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:54
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:55
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:55
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 10:54
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.50%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.25%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-11 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.