La escuela de los momios

Daejeon Citizen v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Inicio: 2026-07-18 10:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 2–2 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Predicción 38.13%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.10%38.13%38.14%39.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.5644.44%41.70%41.67%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.02%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -0.891%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.17%34.00%34.00%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.682.652.8939.22%37.34%37.74%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.85%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.724%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%27.88%27.85%29.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.273.253.5032.26%30.58%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.38%E -0.929%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 10:25
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.90%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.17%EV -2.71%E -0.946%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 10:25
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.71%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -1.68%E -0.583%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.81%EV -3.09%E -0.888%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 10:20
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.37%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 10:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 09:35
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 10:09
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.49%EV -5.05%E -2.03%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.70%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -9.77%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 10:25
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 10:05
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 10:05
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 10:05
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 10:15
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 10:05
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 09:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.83%E -3.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 09:35
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.83%E -3.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 09:35
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.77%EV -6.96%E -2.85%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.88%EV -7.47%E -2.75%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 10:25
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 10:05
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 10:10
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:05
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 09:35
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 10:05
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 10:05
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 10:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 10:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -11.15%E -4.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 10:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 10:04
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 09:35
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -13.44%E -5.92%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.77%EV -12.57%E -4.89%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-18 10:10
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -14.20%E -6.31%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 10:15
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -14.20%E -6.31%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.61%EV -11.44%E -3.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 10:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-07-18 10:10
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.90%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-18 10:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-18 10:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-07-18 10:15