L’École des cotes

Daejeon Citizen v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 10:30 UTC

Score final : Daejeon Citizen 2–2 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prévision 38.13%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.10%38.13%38.14%39.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.5644.44%41.70%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.02%2.94cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.583%
Kelly -0.891%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.17%34.00%34.00%34.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.682.652.8939.22%37.34%37.74%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.85%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.724%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%27.88%27.85%29.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.253.5032.26%30.58%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.38%E -0.929%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 10:25
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.90%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.17%EV -2.71%E -0.946%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 10:25
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.71%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -1.68%E -0.583%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.81%EV -3.09%E -0.888%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 10:20
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.37%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 10:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 09:35
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 10:09
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.49%EV -5.05%E -2.03%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.70%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -9.77%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 10:25
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 10:05
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 10:05
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 10:05
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 10:15
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 10:05
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 09:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.83%E -3.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 09:35
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.83%E -3.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 09:35
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.77%EV -6.96%E -2.85%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.88%EV -7.47%E -2.75%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 10:25
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 10:05
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 10:10
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:05
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 09:35
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 10:05
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 10:05
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 10:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 10:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -11.15%E -4.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 10:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 10:04
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 09:35
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -13.44%E -5.92%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.77%EV -12.57%E -4.89%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-18 10:10
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -14.20%E -6.31%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 10:15
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -14.20%E -6.31%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.61%EV -11.44%E -3.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 10:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-07-18 10:10
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.90%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-18 10:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-18 10:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-07-18 10:15