Language:English
Daejeon Citizen v Pohang Steelers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 45.06%2.22fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%45.09%45.04%46.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.042.1652.36%49.57%49.14%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pohang Steelers (Visit)
Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV +0.668%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.223%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%25.13%25.11%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.623.604.0029.85%27.63%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.78%3.36fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.78%29.78%29.85%31.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.733.063.053.2536.63%32.70%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 45.06%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 25.17%; Draw: 29.78%. For Pohang Steelers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.668%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV +0.668%E +0.167%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV +0.668%E +0.167%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.85%E -0.474%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.77%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.92%EV -2.35%E -0.606%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -2.86%E -0.740%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.83%EV -6.50%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.92%EV -8.53%E -4.20%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.50%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.25%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 09:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -3.23%E -0.993%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 09:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -11.69%E -5.96%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -11.69%E -5.96%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.95%EV -13.04%E -6.76%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 09:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -13.94%E -7.30%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.60%EV -13.94%E -7.30%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.16%E -4.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 42.82%EV -8.53%E -4.20%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.34%EV -13.68%E -3.99%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 31.84%EV -18.71%E -6.85%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-09 09:47 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 09:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 09:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.79%E -5.45%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.69%E -4.68%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |