L’École des cotes

Daejeon Citizen v Pohang Steelers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 10:00 UTC

Score final : Daejeon Citizen 0–2 Pohang Steelers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prévision 45.06%2.22cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.82%45.09%45.04%46.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.022.042.1652.36%49.57%49.14%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pohang Steelers (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.17%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.668%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.223%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%25.13%25.11%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.623.604.0029.85%27.63%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.78%3.36cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -0.993%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.78%29.78%29.85%31.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.733.063.053.2536.63%32.70%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV +0.668%E +0.167%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 09:55
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV +0.668%E +0.167%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 09:54
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.85%E -0.474%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 09:54
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.77%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.92%EV -2.35%E -0.606%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 09:54
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -2.86%E -0.740%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.83%EV -6.50%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 09:54
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.92%EV -8.53%E -4.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.50%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 09:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 09:54
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 09:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 09:54
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 09:54
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 09:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 09:54
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.25%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 09:46
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -3.23%E -0.993%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 09:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 09:54
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 09:53
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 09:54
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 09:54
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -11.69%E -5.96%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 09:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -11.69%E -5.96%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 09:55
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 09:55
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:55
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 09:55
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 09:54
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 45.95%EV -13.04%E -6.76%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 09:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 09:54
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 09:54
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -13.94%E -7.30%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.60%EV -13.94%E -7.30%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.16%E -4.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 09:54
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 42.82%EV -8.53%E -4.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.34%EV -13.68%E -3.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 31.84%EV -18.71%E -6.85%K -10.82%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 09:47
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 09:53
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 09:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 09:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 09:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.79%E -5.45%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.69%E -4.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 09:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-05-09 09:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-05-09 09:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-05-09 09:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%1.9%2026-05-09 09:54
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%2.8%2026-05-09 09:54