La escuela de los momios

Daejeon Citizen v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-05-09 10:00 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 0–2 Pohang Steelers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Predicción 45.06%2.22momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.82%45.09%45.04%46.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.042.1652.36%49.57%49.14%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 25.17%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.668%
Ventaja +0.167%
Kelly +0.223%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%25.13%25.11%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.623.604.0029.85%27.63%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.78%3.36momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.993%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.78%29.78%29.85%31.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.733.063.053.2536.63%32.70%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV +0.668%E +0.167%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 09:55
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV +0.668%E +0.167%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 09:54
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.85%E -0.474%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 09:54
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.77%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.92%EV -2.35%E -0.606%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 09:54
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.96%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -2.86%E -0.740%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.83%EV -6.50%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 09:54
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.92%EV -8.53%E -4.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.50%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 09:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 09:54
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 09:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 09:54
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 09:54
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 09:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 09:54
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.25%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 09:46
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -3.23%E -0.993%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 09:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 09:54
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 09:53
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 09:54
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 09:54
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -11.69%E -5.96%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 09:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -11.69%E -5.96%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 09:55
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 09:55
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:55
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 09:54
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 09:55
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 09:54
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 45.95%EV -13.04%E -6.76%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 09:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 09:54
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 09:54
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -13.94%E -7.30%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 09:54
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.60%EV -13.94%E -7.30%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -11.92%E -3.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.16%E -4.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 09:54
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 42.82%EV -8.53%E -4.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.34%EV -13.68%E -3.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 31.84%EV -18.71%E -6.85%K -10.82%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 09:47
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 09:53
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 09:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 09:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 09:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.79%E -5.45%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.69%E -4.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 09:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-05-09 09:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-05-09 09:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-05-09 09:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%1.9%2026-05-09 09:54
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%2.8%2026-05-09 09:54