Language:English
Daejeon Citizen v FC Seoul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 29.97%3.34fair odd
EV -0.512%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.221%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.13%30.13%29.96%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.3237.04%33.69%33.33%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Seoul (Visit)
Prediction 41.66%2.40fair odd
EV -0.007%
Edge -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.28%41.54%41.67%42.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.242.252.4050.00%44.58%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%28.33%28.37%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.153.4133.33%31.41%31.75%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 29.97%; FC Seoul (Visit): 41.66%; Draw: 28.37%. For FC Seoul (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.4002. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.4000, with an expected value of -0.007%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -0.512%E -0.154%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.39%EV -3.26%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -5.84%E -2.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.88%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -6.67%E -2.98%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 07:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -9.17%E -4.21%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 07:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.05%EV -11.00%E -3.70%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.89%EV -11.26%E -5.28%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -9.78%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 07:12 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -12.51%E -5.96%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.13%EV -12.50%E -4.28%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.52%EV -16.67%E -8.34%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.35%EV -14.89%E -4.96%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.70%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -14.60%E -5.12%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -0.007%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -14.60%E -5.12%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.51%E -5.96%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-16 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.09%E -5.75%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -0.840%E -0.353%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.09%E -5.75%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -0.840%E -0.353%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -2.92%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -19.09%E -7.07%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.58%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -13.47%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 07:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 07:15 |