L’École des cotes

Daejeon Citizen v FC Seoul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 07:30 UTC

Score final : Daejeon Citizen 1–2 FC Seoul

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prévision 29.97%3.34cote équitable
EV -0.512%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.221%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.13%30.13%29.96%32.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.973.003.3237.04%33.69%33.33%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Seoul (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.66%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.007%
Avantage -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.28%41.54%41.67%42.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.242.252.4050.00%44.58%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.37%3.52cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -0.956%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.07%28.33%28.37%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.153.4133.33%31.41%31.75%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -0.512%E -0.154%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.39%EV -3.26%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 07:20
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:10
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:10
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 07:10
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 07:05
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -5.84%E -2.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.88%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 07:15
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -6.67%E -2.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 07:14
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 07:10
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -9.17%E -4.21%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 07:18
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 07:15
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:10
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:15
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 07:15
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 07:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 07:10
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:15
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:15
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 07:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 07:10
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 07:10
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 07:10
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 07:15
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:10
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:10
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.05%EV -11.00%E -3.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.89%EV -11.26%E -5.28%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -9.78%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:12
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 07:10
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 07:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -12.51%E -5.96%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 07:10
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 29.13%EV -12.50%E -4.28%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.52%EV -16.67%E -8.34%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.35%EV -14.89%E -4.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-16 07:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.70%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 07:00
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -14.60%E -5.12%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -0.007%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 07:05
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -14.60%E -5.12%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.51%E -5.96%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.09%E -5.75%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -0.840%E -0.353%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 07:05
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.09%E -5.75%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -0.840%E -0.353%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 07:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -2.92%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 07:05
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -19.09%E -7.07%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.58%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -13.47%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 07:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 07:20
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 07:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.0%2026-05-16 07:25
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-16 07:15