La escuela de los momios

Daejeon Citizen v FC Seoul

Inicio: 2026-05-16 07:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 1–2 FC Seoul

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Predicción 29.97%3.34momio equitativo
EV -0.512%
Ventaja -0.154%
Kelly -0.221%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.13%30.13%29.96%32.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.973.003.3237.04%33.69%33.33%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Seoul (Visitante)

Predicción 41.66%2.40momio equitativo
EV -0.007%
Ventaja -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.28%41.54%41.67%42.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.242.252.4050.00%44.58%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.37%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.07%28.33%28.37%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.153.4133.33%31.41%31.75%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -0.512%E -0.154%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.39%EV -3.26%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 07:20
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:10
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:10
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 07:10
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 07:05
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -5.84%E -2.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.88%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 07:15
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -6.67%E -2.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 07:14
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 07:10
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -9.17%E -4.21%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 07:18
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 07:15
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:10
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:15
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 07:15
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 07:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 07:10
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:15
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:15
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 07:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 07:10
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 07:10
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 07:10
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 07:15
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:10
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:10
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.05%EV -11.00%E -3.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.89%EV -11.26%E -5.28%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -9.78%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 07:12
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 07:10
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 07:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -12.51%E -5.96%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 07:10
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 29.13%EV -12.50%E -4.28%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.52%EV -16.67%E -8.34%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.35%EV -14.89%E -4.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-16 07:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.70%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.42%E -4.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 07:00
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -14.60%E -5.12%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -0.007%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 07:05
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -14.60%E -5.12%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.51%E -5.96%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.09%E -5.75%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -0.840%E -0.353%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 07:05
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.09%E -5.75%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -0.840%E -0.353%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 07:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -2.09%E -0.889%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 07:05
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -17.59%E -6.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -2.92%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 07:05
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -19.09%E -7.07%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.58%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -13.47%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 07:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 07:20
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-16 07:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.0%2026-05-16 07:25
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-16 07:15