Language:English
Daejeon Citizen v Bucheon FC 1995
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 55.44%1.80fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -6.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.90%55.52%55.50%57.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.641.7264.52%60.59%60.98%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit)
Prediction 18.17%5.50fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +0.683%
Kelly +0.828%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 5.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.76%18.13%18.08%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.975.005.7222.22%20.11%20.00%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -0.974%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.62%26.35%26.42%27.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.453.6930.30%28.97%28.99%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 55.44%; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit): 18.17%; Draw: 26.39%. For Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.03%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.85%EV +3.91%E +0.683%K +0.828%G +0.032% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.12%EV -2.62%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.57%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV +0.818%E +0.147%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 10:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -3.72%E -0.702%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.99%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.12%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.42%EV -6.27%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 10:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 10:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.51%EV -10.08%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.51%EV -10.08%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.88%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -14.06%E -9.07%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.87%EV -9.63%E -5.91%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.44%EV -11.90%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.81%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.30%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -9.63%E -5.91%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -18.26%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -18.26%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.21% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.56% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |