L’École des cotes

Daejeon Citizen v Bucheon FC 1995

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 10:30 UTC

Score final : Daejeon Citizen 2–2 Bucheon FC 1995

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prévision 55.44%1.80cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -6.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.90%55.52%55.50%57.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.651.641.7264.52%60.59%60.98%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.17%5.50cote équitable
EV +3.91%
Avantage +0.683%
Kelly +0.828%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 5.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.76%18.13%18.08%19.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.975.005.7222.22%20.11%20.00%17.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.39%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -0.974%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.62%26.35%26.42%27.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.453.453.6930.30%28.97%28.99%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.03%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.85%EV +3.91%E +0.683%K +0.828%G +0.032%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.12%EV -2.62%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 10:15
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.57%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV +0.818%E +0.147%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 10:24
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 10:25
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:15
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 10:15
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -3.72%E -0.702%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:25
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.99%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 10:25
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.12%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 10:25
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.42%EV -6.27%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:25
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:25
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:15
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 10:24
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:20
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:25
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 10:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 10:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 10:25
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-04 10:15
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.51%EV -10.08%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 10:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.51%EV -10.08%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 10:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 09:35
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.88%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 10:25
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -14.06%E -9.07%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-04 10:25
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.87%EV -9.63%E -5.91%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.44%EV -11.90%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.81%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 10:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:05
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.30%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-04 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 10:15
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:25
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -9.63%E -5.91%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 10:00
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-04 10:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -18.26%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-04 10:15
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -18.26%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-04 10:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.21%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-07-04 10:25