La escuela de los momios

Daejeon Citizen v Bucheon FC 1995

Inicio: 2026-07-04 10:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 2–2 Bucheon FC 1995

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Predicción 55.44%1.80momio equitativo
EV -4.64%
Ventaja -2.70%
Kelly -6.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.90%55.52%55.50%57.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.641.7264.52%60.59%60.98%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante)

Predicción 18.17%5.50momio equitativo
EV +3.91%
Ventaja +0.683%
Kelly +0.828%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.76%18.13%18.08%19.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.975.005.7222.22%20.11%20.00%17.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.39%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -0.974%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.62%26.35%26.42%27.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.453.453.6930.30%28.97%28.99%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.03%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.85%EV +3.91%E +0.683%K +0.828%G +0.032%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.12%EV -2.62%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 10:15
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.57%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV +0.818%E +0.147%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 10:24
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 10:25
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:15
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -0.090%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 10:15
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -3.72%E -0.702%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:25
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.99%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 10:25
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.12%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 10:25
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.42%EV -6.27%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:25
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:25
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:15
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 10:24
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:20
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:25
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 10:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 10:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 10:25
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-04 10:15
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.51%EV -10.08%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 10:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.51%EV -10.08%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 10:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 09:35
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.88%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 10:25
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -14.06%E -9.07%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-04 10:25
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.87%EV -9.63%E -5.91%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.44%EV -11.90%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.81%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 10:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:05
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.30%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-04 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 10:15
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:25
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -9.63%E -5.91%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -8.95%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 10:00
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-04 10:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -18.26%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-04 10:15
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -18.26%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-04 10:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.21%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-07-04 10:25