Language:English
Yokohama F Marinos v Mito HollyHock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama F Marinos (Local)
Prediction 46.94%2.13fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%46.93%46.95%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.961.952.0352.63%51.03%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mito HollyHock (Visit)
Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.845%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.94%26.93%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.545%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.13%26.12%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.373.553.603.7729.67%28.16%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 46.94%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 26.93%; Draw: 26.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.77, with an expected value of -1.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -4.66%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV -1.51%E -0.400%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -4.66%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.85%EV -3.60%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-14 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 07:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 00:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 00:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 10:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 06:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 06:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.59%E -3.31%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 08:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 08:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 08:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-16 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 08:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 07:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-17 11:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 04:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 08:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 08:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 08:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 08:21 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 08:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 06:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-16 08:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-16 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -9.87%E -5.14%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-17 07:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -11.96%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-17 10:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 01:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.81%E -5.69%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -10.81%E -5.69%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77% | 3.5% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.11% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.92% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-09-18 07:45 |