L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Yokohama F Marinos v Mito HollyHock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 10:30 UTC

Score final : Yokohama F Marinos 2–0 Mito HollyHock

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yokohama F Marinos (Local)

Prévision 46.94%2.13cote équitable
EV -4.71%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -4.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.95%46.93%46.95%48.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.901.961.952.0352.63%51.03%51.28%49.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mito HollyHock (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.93%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.845%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.49%26.94%26.93%27.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.12%3.83cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.400%
Kelly -0.545%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%26.13%26.12%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.373.553.603.7729.67%28.16%27.78%26.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yokohama F Marinos (Local) : 46.94% ; Mito HollyHock (Visiteur) : 26.93% ; Match nul : 26.12%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.77, pour une espérance de -1.51% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -4.66%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV -1.51%E -0.400%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 11:45
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -4.66%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.85%EV -3.60%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 07:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 10:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 00:02
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 00:01
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 10:35
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 10:30
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 06:55
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 06:55
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.59%E -3.31%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 08:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 08:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 08:21
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 10:30
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 10:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 08:20
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 07:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-17 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 10:39
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 04:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 04:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 04:35
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:21
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:21
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:21
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 06:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 08:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -9.87%E -5.14%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-17 07:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -11.96%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 10:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.81%E -5.69%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -10.81%E -5.69%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%3.5%2026-09-18 14:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.11%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-09-18 07:45