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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Yokohama F Marinos v Mito HollyHock

Início: 2026-09-19 10:30 UTC

Final: Yokohama F Marinos 2–0 Mito HollyHock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yokohama F Marinos (Local)

Previsão 46.94%2.13odd justa
EV -4.71%
Vantagem -2.32%
Kelly -4.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.95%46.93%46.95%48.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.961.952.0352.63%51.03%51.28%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mito HollyHock (Visitante)

Previsão 26.93%3.71odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -0.845%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.49%26.94%26.93%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.48%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.12%3.83odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.400%
Kelly -0.545%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%26.13%26.12%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.373.553.603.7729.67%28.16%27.78%26.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 46.94%; Mito HollyHock (Visitante): 26.93%; Empate: 26.12%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.77, com valor esperado de -1.51%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -4.66%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV -1.51%E -0.400%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 11:45
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -4.66%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.85%EV -3.60%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 07:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 10:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 00:02
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 00:01
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 10:35
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 10:30
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 06:55
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 06:55
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.59%E -3.31%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 08:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 08:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 08:21
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 10:30
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.73%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 10:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 08:20
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 07:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-17 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 10:39
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 04:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 04:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 04:35
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:21
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:21
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:21
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 08:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -8.93%E -4.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 06:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 08:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.40%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -9.87%E -5.14%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-17 07:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.77%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -11.96%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 10:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.34%E -5.41%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.81%E -5.69%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -10.81%E -5.69%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%3.5%2026-09-18 14:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.11%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-09-18 07:45