Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe v FC Tokyo

2026-08-15 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Prediction 40.93%2.44fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%40.78%40.92%41.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3447.62%44.50%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Tokyo (Visit)

Prediction 29.87%3.35fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.58%29.88%29.87%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.66%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.20%3.42fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.34%29.21%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.153.3033.33%32.03%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vissel Kobe (Local): 40.93%; FC Tokyo (Visit): 29.87%; Draw: 29.20%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -3.64%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.90%EV -4.71%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.72%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.06%EV -5.30%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -4.80%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.04%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.02%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.04%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.02%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 11:20
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 10:49
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -6.28%E -2.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.80%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -7.14%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 12:44
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.02%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:44
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.02%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:44
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 11:24
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:54
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.01%E -5.59%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -12.01%E -5.59%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 11:45
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.01%E -5.59%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.20%EV -12.83%E -6.02%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.06%EV -11.81%E -3.91%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.04%EV -14.06%E -6.69%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-08 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 40.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.89%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.11%10.1%2026-08-08 13:20