Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vissel Kobe v FC Tokyo

Início: 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Final: Vissel Kobe 2–2 FC Tokyo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Previsão 41.04%2.44odd justa
EV -0.273%
Vantagem -0.112%
Kelly -0.191%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.10%41.23%40.93%43.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.222.202.4346.73%44.98%45.45%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Tokyo (Visitante)

Previsão 29.60%3.38odd justa
EV +0.642%
Vantagem +0.189%
Kelly +0.268%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.44%29.39%29.66%31.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.153.133.4034.48%31.76%32.00%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.36%3.41odd justa
EV -0.178%
Vantagem -0.052%
Kelly -0.074%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.11%29.39%29.42%30.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.123.103.4033.33%32.07%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Vissel Kobe (Local): 41.04%; FC Tokyo (Visitante): 29.60%; Empate: 29.36%. Para FC Tokyo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.38. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.642%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +0.642%E +0.189%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +0.642%E +0.189%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:54
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +0.642%E +0.189%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +0.642%E +0.189%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 00:04
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -0.838%E -0.250%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -0.838%E -0.250%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -0.838%E -0.250%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -0.838%E -0.250%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:10
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.53%EV -4.38%E -1.88%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -1.73%E -0.520%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -3.11%E -0.944%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 09:45
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:10
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -12.17%E -5.69%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -12.17%E -5.69%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -12.17%E -5.69%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:10
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.11%E -0.944%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:35
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -0.178%E -0.052%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 09:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:48
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:39
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:54
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:54
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.99%EV -8.89%E -4.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.17%EV -8.40%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 09:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 09:54
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.273%E -0.112%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:54
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 09:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-12 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -12.68%E -4.30%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-08-15 09:50
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-08-15 09:55