Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vissel Kobe v FC Tokyo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Score final : Vissel Kobe 2–2 FC Tokyo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Prévision 41.04%2.44cote équitable
EV -0.273%
Avantage -0.112%
Kelly -0.191%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.10%41.23%40.93%43.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.142.222.202.4346.73%44.98%45.45%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Tokyo (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.60%3.38cote équitable
EV +0.642%
Avantage +0.189%
Kelly +0.268%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%29.39%29.66%31.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.133.4034.48%31.76%32.00%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.36%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.178%
Avantage -0.052%
Kelly -0.074%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.11%29.39%29.42%30.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.123.103.4033.33%32.07%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vissel Kobe (Local) : 41.04% ; FC Tokyo (Visiteur) : 29.60% ; Match nul : 29.36%. Pour FC Tokyo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.38. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.642%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +0.642%E +0.189%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +0.642%E +0.189%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:54
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +0.642%E +0.189%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +0.642%E +0.189%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 00:04
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -0.838%E -0.250%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -0.838%E -0.250%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -0.838%E -0.250%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -0.838%E -0.250%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:10
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.53%EV -4.38%E -1.88%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -1.73%E -0.520%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -3.11%E -0.944%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 09:45
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:10
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -12.17%E -5.69%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -12.17%E -5.69%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -12.17%E -5.69%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -2.32%E -0.702%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:10
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.11%E -0.944%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:35
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -0.178%E -0.052%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 09:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:48
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:39
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:54
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:54
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.99%EV -8.89%E -4.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.17%EV -8.40%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 09:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 09:54
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.273%E -0.112%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:54
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 09:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-12 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -12.68%E -4.30%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-08-15 09:50
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-08-15 09:55