Language:English
V-Varen Nagasaki v FC Tokyo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki (Local)
Prediction 16.90%5.92fair odd
EV +7.33%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 6.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.92%16.91%16.87%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.355.206.3520.00%18.70%19.23%15.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Tokyo (Visit)
Prediction 60.11%1.66fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -8.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.05%60.09%61.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.551.5867.11%64.90%64.52%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV -0.699%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.29%23.04%23.04%24.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.943.904.3226.67%25.37%25.64%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: V-Varen Nagasaki (Local): 16.90%; FC Tokyo (Visit): 60.11%; Draw: 22.99%. For V-Varen Nagasaki (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.92%EV +7.33%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.100% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.93%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -1.97%E -0.339%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.96%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.29%EV -0.699%E -0.162%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.42%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 09:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -7.88%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.23%E -6.11%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.09%EV -9.66%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.49%EV -10.43%E -7.00%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.57%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.74%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |