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V-Varen Nagasaki v FC Tokyo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
V-Varen Nagasaki (Хозяева)
Прогноз 16.90%5.92справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.33%
Преимущество +1.15%
Kelly +1.37%
Рост +0.100%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.92%16.91%16.87%18.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.355.206.3520.00%18.70%19.23%15.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
FC Tokyo (Гости)
Прогноз 60.11%1.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.02%
Преимущество -3.18%
Kelly -8.66%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.58
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.44%60.05%60.09%61.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.491.541.551.5867.11%64.90%64.52%63.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 22.99%4.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.699%
Преимущество -0.162%
Kelly -0.210%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.29%23.04%23.04%24.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.753.943.904.3226.67%25.37%25.64%23.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: V-Varen Nagasaki (Хозяева): 16.90%; FC Tokyo (Гости): 60.11%; Ничья: 22.99%. Для исхода «V-Varen Nagasaki (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.92. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.35, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.33%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.92%EV +7.33%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.100% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.93%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -1.97%E -0.339%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.96%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.29%EV -0.699%E -0.162%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.42%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 09:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -7.88%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.23%E -6.11%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.09%EV -9.66%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.49%EV -10.43%E -7.00%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.57%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.74%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |