Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

V-Varen Nagasaki v FC Tokyo

Início: 2026-08-29 09:30 UTC

Final: V-Varen Nagasaki 0–3 FC Tokyo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

V-Varen Nagasaki (Local)

Previsão 16.90%5.92odd justa
EV +7.33%
Vantagem +1.15%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.100%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.92%16.91%16.87%18.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.355.206.3520.00%18.70%19.23%15.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Tokyo (Visitante)

Previsão 60.11%1.66odd justa
EV -5.02%
Vantagem -3.18%
Kelly -8.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.44%60.05%60.09%61.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.541.551.5867.11%64.90%64.52%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.99%4.35odd justa
EV -0.699%
Vantagem -0.162%
Kelly -0.210%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.29%23.04%23.04%24.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.753.943.904.3226.67%25.37%25.64%23.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: V-Varen Nagasaki (Local): 16.90%; FC Tokyo (Visitante): 60.11%; Empate: 22.99%. Para V-Varen Nagasaki (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.92. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.33%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯6.35I 15.75%NM 14.92%EV +7.33%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.100%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.93%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:25
BetAnything🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -0.277%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -1.97%E -0.339%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 09:20
Pinnacle🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.96%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.29%EV -0.699%E -0.162%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 09:25
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 09:24
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:25
SportsBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.42%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 09:25
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 09:23
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 09:20
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -7.43%E -4.82%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 09:20
Betsson🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:20
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:25
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 09:25
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 09:25
NordicBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -7.88%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 09:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.23%E -6.11%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.09%EV -9.66%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.49%EV -10.43%E -7.00%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 09:20
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:30
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:35
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:30
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -5.63%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 08:30
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 08:30
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 08:30
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 08:30
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 08:35
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.57%EV -13.80%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.74%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 09:20
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 09:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:25
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:25
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 09:25
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 09:25
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.83%E -6.56%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 09:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-08-29 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Matchbook◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-08-29 09:20
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-29 09:20