Language:English
Urawa Red Diamonds v Fagiano Okayama
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)
Prediction 37.96%2.63fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.498%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.81%38.04%37.96%40.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.402.6043.48%41.22%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fagiano Okayama (Visit)
Prediction 34.55%2.89fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.822%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%34.40%34.53%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.92%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.766%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.57%27.50%29.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.293.303.5431.75%30.40%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 37.96%; Fagiano Okayama (Visit): 34.55%; Draw: 27.48%. For Urawa Red Diamonds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.36%EV -1.67%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV -5.32%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.33%EV -2.71%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -6.61%E -2.69%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -6.01%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.32%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.32%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 07:33 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 07:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 08:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -9.12%E -3.47%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.89%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 07:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 07:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.92%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.53%EV -7.74%E -2.90%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 07:55 |