Idioma:Español
Urawa Red Diamonds v Fagiano Okayama
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)
Predicción 37.96%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.498%
Kelly -0.809%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.81%38.04%37.96%40.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.432.402.6043.48%41.22%41.67%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fagiano Okayama (Visitante)
Predicción 34.55%2.89momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.822%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.49%34.40%34.53%35.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.92%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.57%27.50%29.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.293.303.5431.75%30.40%30.30%28.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 37.96%; Fagiano Okayama (Visitante): 34.55%; Empate: 27.48%. Para Urawa Red Diamonds (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.63. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.60, con un valor esperado de -1.29%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.36%EV -1.67%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV -5.32%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.33%EV -2.71%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -6.61%E -2.69%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -6.01%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.32%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.32%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 07:33 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 07:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 08:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -9.12%E -3.47%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.89%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 08:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 07:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 07:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.92%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.53%EV -7.74%E -2.90%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 07:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 09:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 07:55 |