Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Urawa Red Diamonds v Fagiano Okayama

Início: 2026-09-13 09:30 UTC

Final: Urawa Red Diamonds 1–2 Fagiano Okayama

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Previsão 37.96%2.63odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.498%
Kelly -0.809%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.81%38.04%37.96%40.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.432.402.6043.48%41.22%41.67%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fagiano Okayama (Visitante)

Previsão 34.55%2.89odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -0.822%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.49%34.40%34.53%35.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.92%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.48%3.64odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -0.766%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.67%27.57%27.50%29.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.293.303.5431.75%30.40%30.30%28.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 37.96%; Fagiano Okayama (Visitante): 34.55%; Empate: 27.48%. Para Urawa Red Diamonds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.63. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.60, com valor esperado de -1.29%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 09:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 09:20
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -1.29%E -0.498%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.36%EV -1.67%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV -5.32%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.33%EV -2.71%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 09:25
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 09:25
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 07:54
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:20
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 09:25
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 09:25
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -6.61%E -2.69%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 09:25
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 08:16
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 07:35
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 09:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -6.01%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 08:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 08:51
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 08:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -1.52%E -0.534%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 08:51
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.32%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 07:35
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.32%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 07:33
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 09:20
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 08:51
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 08:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 08:55
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 08:51
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 08:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 08:51
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 08:51
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 07:55
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -9.12%E -3.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 09:20
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 09:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.89%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 09:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 07:35
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 07:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 07:35
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 08:51
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 08:51
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 08:55
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 07:41
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 08:16
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 07:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.92%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.53%EV -7.74%E -2.90%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 09:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 09:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 07:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-09-13 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-09-13 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-09-13 09:20
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-09-13 09:25
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%1.4%2026-09-13 09:25
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-09-13 07:55