Language:English
Shimizu S Pulse v Kashiwa Reysol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shimizu S Pulse (Local)
Prediction 20.91%4.78fair odd
EV -0.070%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.018%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.58%21.10%20.69%23.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.254.204.7825.97%23.53%23.81%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visit)
Prediction 53.01%1.89fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.93%52.80%53.25%54.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.761.8559.88%56.53%56.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV -0.344%
Edge -0.090%
Kelly -0.122%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.11%26.06%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.8230.30%28.51%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 20.91%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visit): 53.01%; Draw: 26.09%. For Shimizu S Pulse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.783. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.780, with an expected value of -0.070%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.86%EV -0.070%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.22%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.66%EV -2.16%E -0.462%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.02%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -0.344%E -0.090%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -4.88%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.42%EV -6.97%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.12%EV -9.21%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.26%EV -6.97%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -2.47%E -1.34%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |