Idioma:Español
Shimizu S Pulse v Kashiwa Reysol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shimizu S Pulse (Local)
Predicción 20.91%4.78momio equitativo
EV -0.070%
Ventaja -0.015%
Kelly -0.018%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.58%21.10%20.69%23.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.254.204.7825.97%23.53%23.81%20.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante)
Predicción 53.01%1.89momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.93%52.80%53.25%54.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.761.8559.88%56.53%56.82%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.09%3.83momio equitativo
EV -0.344%
Ventaja -0.090%
Kelly -0.122%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.11%26.06%27.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.8230.30%28.51%28.57%26.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 20.91%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante): 53.01%; Empate: 26.09%. Para Shimizu S Pulse (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.783. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.780, con un valor esperado de -0.070%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.86%EV -0.070%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.22%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.66%EV -2.16%E -0.462%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.02%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -0.344%E -0.090%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -4.88%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.42%EV -6.97%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.12%EV -9.21%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.26%EV -6.97%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -2.47%E -1.34%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |