Язык:Русский
Shimizu S Pulse v Kashiwa Reysol
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shimizu S Pulse (Хозяева)
Прогноз 20.91%4.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.070%
Преимущество -0.015%
Kelly -0.018%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.78
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.58%21.10%20.69%23.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.854.254.204.7825.97%23.53%23.81%20.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Kashiwa Reysol (Гости)
Прогноз 53.01%1.89справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.94%
Преимущество -1.05%
Kelly -2.28%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.93%52.80%53.25%54.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.771.761.8559.88%56.53%56.82%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.09%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.344%
Преимущество -0.090%
Kelly -0.122%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.82
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.29%26.11%26.06%27.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.513.503.8230.30%28.51%28.57%26.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shimizu S Pulse (Хозяева): 20.91%; Kashiwa Reysol (Гости): 53.01%; Ничья: 26.09%. Для исхода «Shimizu S Pulse (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.783. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.780, математическое ожидание — -0.070%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.86%EV -0.070%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.22%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.17%E -0.579%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.66%EV -2.16%E -0.462%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.02%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -0.344%E -0.090%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -4.88%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.42%EV -6.97%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.12%EV -9.21%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.26%EV -6.97%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -2.47%E -1.34%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -18.47%E -4.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |