Language:English
Shimizu S Pulse v FC Tokyo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shimizu S Pulse (Local)
Prediction 19.00%5.26fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.227%
Kelly -0.281%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%19.05%18.94%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.704.755.2024.39%21.29%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Tokyo (Visit)
Prediction 55.90%1.79fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.51%55.95%55.80%57.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.86%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.09%3.98fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.342%
Kelly +0.455%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%25.00%25.26%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.604.0429.41%27.43%27.78%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 19.00%; FC Tokyo (Visit): 55.90%; Draw: 25.09%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.47%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.68%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.85%EV +1.38%E +0.342%K +0.455%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.08%EV -4.79%E -0.956%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.22%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.70%EV -2.88%E -0.745%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -8.32%E -5.07%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.14%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.08%E -0.604%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.18%E -0.227%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 08:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.18%E -0.227%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.32%E -5.07%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -7.83%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.88%E -5.45%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -11.68%E -7.39%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -20.18%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -1.05%E -0.596%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -22.08%E -5.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.87% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |