默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shimizu S Pulse v FC Tokyo

开赛时间: 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

最终结果: Shimizu S Pulse 1–1 FC Tokyo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shimizu S Pulse (主队)

预测 19.00%5.26公平赔率
EV -1.18%
优势 -0.227%
Kelly -0.281%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布
17.68%19.05%18.94%21.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.704.755.2024.39%21.29%21.05%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Tokyo (客队)

预测 55.90%1.79公平赔率
EV -1.05%
优势 -0.596%
Kelly -1.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
51.51%55.95%55.80%57.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.86%59.88%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.09%3.98公平赔率
EV +1.38%
优势 +0.342%
Kelly +0.455%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 4.04

博彩公司预测分布
23.85%25.00%25.26%26.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.653.604.0429.41%27.43%27.78%24.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Shimizu S Pulse (主队):19.00%;FC Tokyo (客队):55.90%;平局:25.09%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.98。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.04,对应+1.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.47%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.68%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.85%EV +1.38%E +0.342%K +0.455%G +0.006%3.8%2026-09-02 09:55
1xBet🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 19.08%EV -4.79%E -0.956%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.22%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.70%EV -2.88%E -0.745%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:55
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -8.32%E -5.07%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.14%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.08%E -0.604%K -0.751%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 08:05
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.18%E -0.227%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 08:04
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 09:44
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 09:40
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 09:55
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.18%E -0.227%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.32%E -5.07%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 09:15
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 07:55
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:35
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:45
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:45
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:14
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:15
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:15
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:15
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:15
Betsson🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -7.83%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.88%E -5.45%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:38
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:15
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -11.68%E -7.39%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 09:35
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 09:35
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -20.18%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -1.05%E -0.596%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 09:40
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 09:40
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:45
Sky Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -22.08%E -5.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 08:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-02 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-02 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-02 09:50
Matchbook◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-09-02 09:55