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Shimizu S Pulse v FC Tokyo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shimizu S Pulse (Хозяева)
Прогноз 19.00%5.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.18%
Преимущество -0.227%
Kelly -0.281%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.68%19.05%18.94%21.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.104.704.755.2024.39%21.29%21.05%19.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
FC Tokyo (Гости)
Прогноз 55.90%1.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.05%
Преимущество -0.596%
Kelly -1.37%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.77
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.51%55.95%55.80%57.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.86%59.88%56.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.09%3.98справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.38%
Преимущество +0.342%
Kelly +0.455%
Рост +0.006%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.04
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.85%25.00%25.26%26.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.653.604.0429.41%27.43%27.78%24.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shimizu S Pulse (Хозяева): 19.00%; FC Tokyo (Гости): 55.90%; Ничья: 25.09%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.98. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.04, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.38%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.47%EV -5.93%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.68%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.85%EV +1.38%E +0.342%K +0.455%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.08%EV -4.79%E -0.956%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.22%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.70%EV -2.88%E -0.745%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -8.32%E -5.07%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.14%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.08%E -0.604%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.18%E -0.227%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 08:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -6.88%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.18%E -0.227%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.32%E -5.07%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.98%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -7.83%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.88%E -5.45%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -16.38%E -3.72%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.73%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -11.68%E -7.39%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.78%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -20.18%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -1.05%E -0.596%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -12.58%E -2.74%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -22.08%E -5.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.87% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |