Language:English
Shimizu S Pulse v Avispa Fukuoka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shimizu S Pulse (Local)
Prediction 32.85%3.04fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.74%32.91%32.81%34.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.752.752.9238.02%36.30%36.36%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avispa Fukuoka (Visit)
Prediction 38.03%2.63fair odd
EV +0.788%
Edge +0.298%
Kelly +0.478%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.86%37.80%38.09%38.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.482.452.6543.86%40.31%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.12%3.43fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%29.29%29.10%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.113.103.3033.33%32.10%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 32.85%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visit): 38.03%; Draw: 29.12%. For Avispa Fukuoka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.788%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.80%EV -4.41%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.92%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.92%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 13:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -6.06%E -2.45%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -6.44%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -6.44%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 09:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 09:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 09:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 09:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 09:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -6.71%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -7.20%E -2.95%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.36%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.96%E -3.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.96%E -3.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 07:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.86%E -4.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.86%E -4.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.62%E -4.52%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.52%E -5.44%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.52%E -5.44%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.26%EV -10.65%E -3.91%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.49%EV -13.28%E -5.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |