默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shimizu S Pulse v Avispa Fukuoka

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 09:30 UTC

最终结果: Shimizu S Pulse 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shimizu S Pulse (主队)

预测 32.85%3.04公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -1.40%
Kelly -2.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布
31.74%32.91%32.81%34.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.752.752.9238.02%36.30%36.36%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Avispa Fukuoka (客队)

预测 38.03%2.63公平赔率
EV +0.788%
优势 +0.298%
Kelly +0.478%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
34.86%37.80%38.09%38.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.282.482.452.6543.86%40.31%40.82%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.12%3.43公平赔率
EV -3.91%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.42%29.29%29.10%30.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.113.103.3033.33%32.10%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Shimizu S Pulse (主队):32.85%;Avispa Fukuoka (客队):38.03%;平局:29.12%。 对于“Avispa Fukuoka (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.63。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.65,对应+0.788%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 09:30
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 09:30
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 09:30
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 09:35
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 09:35
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 09:35
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 09:35
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.80%EV -4.41%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.92%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.92%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 13:53
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -6.06%E -2.45%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 09:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -6.44%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -6.44%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 09:35
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:50
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 09:38
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 09:42
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 09:34
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:33
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 09:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 09:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:34
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -6.71%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -7.20%E -2.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.36%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.96%E -3.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 10:39
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.96%E -3.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 09:44
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 07:35
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 09:30
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 09:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.86%E -4.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.86%E -4.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.62%E -4.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.52%E -5.44%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.52%E -5.44%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.26%EV -10.65%E -3.91%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.49%EV -13.28%E -5.83%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 10:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-09-09 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%5.0%2026-09-09 17:21