Idioma:Español
Shimizu S Pulse v Avispa Fukuoka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shimizu S Pulse (Local)
Predicción 32.85%3.04momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.74%32.91%32.81%34.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.752.752.9238.02%36.30%36.36%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante)
Predicción 38.03%2.63momio equitativo
EV +0.788%
Ventaja +0.298%
Kelly +0.478%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.86%37.80%38.09%38.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.482.452.6543.86%40.31%40.82%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%29.29%29.10%30.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.113.103.3033.33%32.10%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 32.85%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante): 38.03%; Empate: 29.12%. Para Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.63. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.788%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV +0.788%E +0.298%K +0.478%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.11%E -0.428%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.80%EV -4.41%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.92%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.92%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 13:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -6.06%E -2.45%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -6.44%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -4.08%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -6.44%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 09:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 09:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 09:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 09:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 09:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -6.71%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -7.20%E -2.95%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.36%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.96%E -3.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.96%E -3.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 07:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.48%E -3.98%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.86%E -4.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.86%E -4.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.62%E -4.52%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.52%E -5.44%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.52%E -5.44%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.26%EV -10.65%E -3.91%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.49%EV -13.28%E -5.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |