Language:English
Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus (Local)
Prediction 39.87%2.51fair odd
EV -0.319%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.213%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.99%39.89%39.83%40.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.5045.45%43.30%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gamba Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 33.38%3.00fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.86%33.40%33.43%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.832.9038.46%35.68%35.40%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -0.517%
Edge -0.139%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.72%26.74%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.393.403.7230.77%29.46%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 39.87%; Gamba Osaka (Visit): 33.38%; Draw: 26.74%. For Nagoya Grampus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.319%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99%EV -0.319%E -0.128%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.517%E -0.139%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 09:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -5.90%E -2.50%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.19%E -2.59%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.47%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 09:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 09:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -13.20%E -5.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -7.19%E -2.59%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 09:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -9.49%E -4.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -11.53%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -13.20%E -5.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 09:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 33.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98% | -0.0% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |