The School of Odds
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Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka

2026-08-22 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nagoya Grampus (Local)

Prediction 40.37%2.48fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.27%40.40%40.31%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.302.3847.62%44.32%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gamba Osaka (Visit)

Prediction 32.65%3.06fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.42%32.56%32.71%33.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.822.802.9238.02%35.45%35.71%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.05%26.98%27.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.74%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 40.37%; Gamba Osaka (Visit): 32.65%; Draw: 26.98%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -2.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.14%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -4.66%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.04%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.18%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -4.77%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.34%E -2.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:15
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.14%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 10:59
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.14%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 10:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.14%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 12:30
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.14%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 11:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.14%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 11:54
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.14%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:14
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.42%EV -4.66%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:54
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:00
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:18
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -14.13%E -5.37%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-15 10:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.20%E -6.14%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 11:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -13.20%E -6.14%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -13.20%E -6.14%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -11.85%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-15 10:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -15.22%E -7.25%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -11.85%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-15 11:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 40.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%5.9%2026-08-15 12:10

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