Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka

Início: 2026-08-22 10:00 UTC

Final: Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Gamba Osaka

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nagoya Grampus (Local)

Previsão 39.87%2.51odd justa
EV -0.319%
Vantagem -0.128%
Kelly -0.213%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.99%39.89%39.83%40.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.312.302.5045.45%43.30%43.48%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gamba Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 33.38%3.00odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.86%33.40%33.43%35.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.802.832.9038.46%35.68%35.40%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.74%3.74odd justa
EV -0.517%
Vantagem -0.139%
Kelly -0.190%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.53%26.72%26.74%28.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.393.403.7230.77%29.46%29.41%26.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 39.87%; Gamba Osaka (Visitante): 33.38%; Empate: 26.74%. Para Nagoya Grampus (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.51. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.50, com valor esperado de -0.319%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99%EV -0.319%E -0.128%K -0.213%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.517%E -0.139%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 09:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -5.90%E -2.50%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.19%E -2.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.47%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 09:45
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 09:24
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 09:43
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 09:44
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -13.20%E -5.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 09:40
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:04
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -7.19%E -2.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 09:53
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 09:53
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 16:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 16:19
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:04
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:04
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:04
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:04
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 09:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 09:45
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 09:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -9.49%E -4.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:49
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:24
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -11.53%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 09:50
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 09:45
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -13.20%E -5.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 09:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-08-22 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-08-22 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-08-22 09:55
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-08-22 09:55
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-08-22 09:50