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Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Nagoya Grampus (Хозяева)
Прогноз 39.87%2.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.319%
Преимущество -0.128%
Kelly -0.213%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.99%39.89%39.83%40.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.312.302.5045.45%43.30%43.48%40.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Gamba Osaka (Гости)
Прогноз 33.38%3.00справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.18%
Преимущество -1.10%
Kelly -1.68%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.86%33.40%33.43%35.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.802.832.9038.46%35.68%35.40%34.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.74%3.74справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.517%
Преимущество -0.139%
Kelly -0.190%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.72
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.53%26.72%26.74%28.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.393.403.7230.77%29.46%29.41%26.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Nagoya Grampus (Хозяева): 39.87%; Gamba Osaka (Гости): 33.38%; Ничья: 26.74%. Для исхода «Nagoya Grampus (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.51. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.50, математическое ожидание — -0.319%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99%EV -0.319%E -0.128%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.517%E -0.139%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 09:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.52%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -5.90%E -2.50%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.19%E -2.59%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.47%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 09:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 09:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -13.20%E -5.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -7.19%E -2.59%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -7.50%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 09:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.85%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -9.49%E -4.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -11.53%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.29%E -4.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -13.20%E -5.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 09:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 33.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98% | -0.0% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |