Language:English
Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S Pulse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kawasaki Frontale (Local)
Prediction 51.46%1.94fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.77%51.53%51.49%53.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.791.8859.17%56.00%55.87%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shimizu S Pulse (Visit)
Prediction 22.50%4.44fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +0.620%
Kelly +0.793%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 4.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.78%22.56%22.53%23.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.074.104.5726.67%24.58%24.39%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV +0.236%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%25.91%25.98%27.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.8530.30%28.01%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 51.46%; Shimizu S Pulse (Visit): 22.50%; Draw: 26.04%. For Shimizu S Pulse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.17%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.78%EV +2.83%E +0.620%K +0.793%G +0.022% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.05%EV -8.62%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.36%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.04%EV -1.44%E -0.330%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -5.49%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.49%EV -4.28%E -2.30%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -3.24%E -0.754%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.49%EV -4.28%E -2.30%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -3.24%E -0.754%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV +0.236%E +0.061%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.37%E -0.631%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.37%E -0.631%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.48%E -6.68%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.62%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -6.62%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 09:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.42%E -5.35%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.42%E -5.35%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.18%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.77%EV -13.03%E -7.71%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 08:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -9.42%E -5.35%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.46%EV -10.45%E -6.01%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -12.24%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -13.37%E -3.47%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -14.49%E -3.81%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.49%E -3.81%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -14.49%E -3.81%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.62%E -4.17%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.62%E -4.17%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.62%E -4.17%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.62%E -4.17%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |