默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S Pulse

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 10:00 UTC

最终结果: Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Shimizu S Pulse

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kawasaki Frontale (主队)

预测 51.46%1.94公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -1.73%
Kelly -3.69%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
49.77%51.53%51.49%53.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.691.791.791.8859.17%56.00%55.87%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Shimizu S Pulse (客队)

预测 22.50%4.44公平赔率
EV +2.83%
优势 +0.620%
Kelly +0.793%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 4.57

博彩公司预测分布
20.78%22.56%22.53%23.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.074.104.5726.67%24.58%24.39%21.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.04%3.84公平赔率
EV +0.236%
优势 +0.061%
Kelly +0.083%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.80%25.91%25.98%27.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.573.603.8530.30%28.01%27.78%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kawasaki Frontale (主队):51.46%;Shimizu S Pulse (客队):22.50%;平局:26.04%。 对于“Shimizu S Pulse (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.44。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.57,对应+2.83%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.17%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.78%EV +2.83%E +0.620%K +0.793%G +0.022%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.05%EV -8.62%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 09:50
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.36%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.04%EV -1.44%E -0.330%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -5.49%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.49%EV -4.28%E -2.30%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -3.24%E -0.754%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.49%EV -4.28%E -2.30%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -3.24%E -0.754%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 09:55
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV +0.236%E +0.061%K +0.083%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 09:55
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 09:45
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.37%E -0.631%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.37%E -0.631%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:05
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 09:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.48%E -6.68%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.62%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 09:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -6.62%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 09:25
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 09:44
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 09:55
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.42%E -5.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.42%E -5.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 09:05
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 09:04
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 09:05
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 09:05
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.67%E -0.992%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 09:05
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.18%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 09:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.77%EV -13.03%E -7.71%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:35
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 08:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -9.42%E -5.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 09:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.46%EV -10.45%E -6.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -12.24%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 09:25
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -13.37%E -3.47%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 09:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -14.49%E -3.81%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.49%E -3.81%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.88%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 09:00
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -14.49%E -3.81%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.62%E -4.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.62%E -4.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:00
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.62%E -4.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.62%E -4.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 09:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-09-06 09:55
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-09-06 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-09-06 09:45
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-09-06 09:45