Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 2.56
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 35.73%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 38.20%; Draw: 26.07%. For Kawasaki Frontale (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 09:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 09:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 09:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 20:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 20:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.63%EV -4.23%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.20%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.26%E -0.601%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.43%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.57%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 09:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 09:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.12%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.12%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 09:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.62%EV -6.73%E -2.58%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%EV -7.17%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 11:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.26%E -0.601%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 09:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 15:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-18 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-17 09:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 09:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-17 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 04:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -12.45%E -5.08%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 09:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -12.45%E -5.08%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-14 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -14.24%E -5.93%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.13% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33% | 4.1% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |