Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale v Kashima Antlers

2026-09-19 09:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Prediction 35.77%2.80fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.11%35.78%35.72%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.6741.67%39.12%39.22%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visit)

Prediction 38.48%2.60fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%38.42%38.53%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.4844.44%41.88%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.75%3.88fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%25.80%25.75%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.7530.30%28.21%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 35.77%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 38.48%; Draw: 25.75%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -3.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.76%EV -4.49%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.50%EV -4.58%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.74%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.79%EV -4.85%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -4.97%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -4.85%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -4.85%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.42%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -6.64%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.89%E -2.85%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.77%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:18
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.69%EV -7.71%E -2.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.37%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.57%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.57%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.46%EV -11.65%E -4.72%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.43%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.61%EV -11.92%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -13.43%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -13.72%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -13.43%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.20%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -13.43%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -11.51%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -15.01%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%11.9%2026-09-12 19:35
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%17.1%2026-09-12 14:20