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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Kawasaki Frontale v Kashima Antlers

Início: 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC

Final: Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 Kashima Antlers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Previsão 35.73%2.80odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.630%
Kelly -0.989%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.86%35.68%35.75%37.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.612.622.7541.67%38.28%38.17%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kashima Antlers (Visitante)

Previsão 38.20%2.62odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -0.862%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.33%38.23%38.19%39.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.392.382.5643.48%41.76%42.02%39.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.07%3.84odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.601%
Kelly -0.820%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.92%26.09%26.06%27.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.503.453.7529.41%28.57%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 35.73%; Kashima Antlers (Visitante): 38.20%; Empate: 26.07%. Para Kawasaki Frontale (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.75, com valor esperado de -1.73%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 09:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 09:11
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:01
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:01
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:10
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 20:50
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.63%EV -4.23%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.20%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.26%E -0.601%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:25
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.43%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.57%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:05
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:05
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.12%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 09:35
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.12%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 09:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 14:10
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.62%EV -6.73%E -2.58%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%EV -7.17%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 11:56
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.26%E -0.601%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 09:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 09:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:13
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 09:04
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 09:05
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 09:04
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 09:01
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 04:29
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -12.45%E -5.08%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 09:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -12.45%E -5.08%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-14 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -14.24%E -5.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.13%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%4.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%4.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%4.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%4.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%5.0%2026-09-18 15:25