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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Kawasaki Frontale v Kashima Antlers

Inicio: 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC

Final: Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 Kashima Antlers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Predicción 35.73%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.630%
Kelly -0.989%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.86%35.68%35.75%37.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.622.7541.67%38.28%38.17%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kashima Antlers (Visitante)

Predicción 38.20%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.33%38.23%38.19%39.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.392.382.5643.48%41.76%42.02%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.07%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -0.820%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.92%26.09%26.06%27.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.503.453.7529.41%28.57%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 35.73%; Kashima Antlers (Visitante): 38.20%; Empate: 26.07%. Para Kawasaki Frontale (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.80. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.75, con un valor esperado de -1.73%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 09:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.630%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 09:11
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:01
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:01
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:10
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -10.99%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 20:50
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.63%EV -4.23%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.20%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.26%E -0.601%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:25
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.43%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.57%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:05
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.33%EV -2.21%E -0.862%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:05
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.12%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 09:35
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.12%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 09:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 14:10
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.62%EV -6.73%E -2.58%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%EV -7.17%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 11:56
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.26%E -0.601%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 09:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 09:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:13
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 09:04
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 09:05
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.88%E -3.48%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 09:04
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 09:01
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 04:29
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.66%E -4.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -12.45%E -5.08%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 09:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -12.45%E -5.08%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-14 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -14.24%E -5.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.08%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.13%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%4.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%4.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%4.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%4.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%5.0%2026-09-18 15:25