Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashiwa Reysol v Mito HollyHock

2026-08-08 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashiwa Reysol (Local)

Prediction 60.41%1.66fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -6.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.32%60.40%60.18%61.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.521.5969.44%66.08%66.01%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mito HollyHock (Visit)

Prediction 15.75%6.35fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.300%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%15.74%15.94%16.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.775.926.2519.61%17.34%16.89%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.84%4.19fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.17%23.86%23.88%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.823.854.0028.57%26.18%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 60.41%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 15.75%; Draw: 23.84%. For Mito HollyHock (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.25, with an expected value of -1.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.13%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.96%EV -5.67%E -0.947%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 11:49
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 59.68%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.20%EV -8.35%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.12%EV -6.77%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 12:00
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -1.58%E -0.252%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 11:18
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -7.87%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 11:45
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.51%E -0.919%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 11:20
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -8.18%E -5.38%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -1.58%E -0.252%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 11:19
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -8.78%E -5.82%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -5.51%E -0.919%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 11:18
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -5.51%E -0.919%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -11.20%E -7.62%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.93%EV -18.11%E -3.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-01 10:59
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.16%EV -11.80%E -8.08%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.97%EV -13.39%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.87%EV -12.26%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 10:59
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.66%EV -12.41%E -8.56%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.96%EV -19.69%E -3.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.38%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-01 10:59
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.32%EV -13.01%E -9.04%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.27%EV -17.32%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -16.55%E -4.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-01 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.