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Kashiwa Reysol v Mito HollyHock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol (Local)
Prediction 56.94%1.76fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.16%57.03%57.02%59.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.7065.36%61.69%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mito HollyHock (Visit)
Prediction 17.95%5.57fair odd
EV +0.728%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.158%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.46%17.85%17.96%19.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.145.205.6121.74%19.46%19.23%17.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.95%25.13%25.03%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.423.693.703.8529.24%27.10%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 56.94%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 17.95%; Draw: 25.11%. For Mito HollyHock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.728%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.12%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.90%EV +0.728%E +0.130%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.08%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.34%EV -0.709%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -11.75%E -7.58%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 14:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -11.75%E -7.58%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-06 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -3.34%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 05:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 05:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.43%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.62%EV -14.14%E -4.13%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 09:32 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 09:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.02%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 05:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.16%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -12.92%E -2.66%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.82%E -2.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 07:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.71%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -14.71%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -10.04%E -6.35%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.61%E -3.32%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.41%E -3.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.41%E -3.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.30% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30% | 2.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
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