默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kashiwa Reysol v Mito HollyHock

开赛时间: 2026-08-08 10:00 UTC

最终结果: Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Mito HollyHock

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kashiwa Reysol (主队)

预测 56.94%1.76公平赔率
EV -3.20%
优势 -1.89%
Kelly -4.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布
55.16%57.03%57.02%59.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.621.621.7065.36%61.69%61.73%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mito HollyHock (客队)

预测 17.95%5.57公平赔率
EV +0.728%
优势 +0.130%
Kelly +0.158%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 5.61

博彩公司预测分布
16.46%17.85%17.96%19.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.145.205.6121.74%19.46%19.23%17.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.11%3.98公平赔率
EV -3.34%
优势 -0.868%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
23.95%25.13%25.03%26.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.423.693.703.8529.24%27.10%27.03%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kashiwa Reysol (主队):56.94%;Mito HollyHock (客队):17.95%;平局:25.11%。 对于“Mito HollyHock (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.57。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.61,对应+0.728%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.12%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.90%EV +0.728%E +0.130%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.08%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.34%EV -0.709%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 09:55
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -11.75%E -7.58%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 14:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 14:31
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -11.75%E -7.58%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-06 03:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 09:55
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 09:55
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 09:35
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -3.34%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 05:20
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 09:25
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 05:15
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:30
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.43%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:45
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.62%EV -14.14%E -4.13%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 09:32
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 09:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 09:30
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.02%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 05:21
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.16%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -12.92%E -2.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.82%E -2.88%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 07:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.71%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 09:50
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -14.71%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 09:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -10.04%E -6.35%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.61%E -3.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.41%E -3.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 09:55
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.41%E -3.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 09:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-08-08 09:50
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.30%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%2.7%2026-08-08 09:55