Idioma:Español
Kashiwa Reysol v Mito HollyHock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kashiwa Reysol (Local)
Predicción 56.94%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -4.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.16%57.03%57.02%59.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.7065.36%61.69%61.73%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mito HollyHock (Visitante)
Predicción 17.95%5.57momio equitativo
EV +0.728%
Ventaja +0.130%
Kelly +0.158%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.46%17.85%17.96%19.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.145.205.6121.74%19.46%19.23%17.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.11%3.98momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -0.868%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.95%25.13%25.03%26.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.423.693.703.8529.24%27.10%27.03%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 56.94%; Mito HollyHock (Visitante): 17.95%; Empate: 25.11%. Para Mito HollyHock (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.57. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.61, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.728%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.12%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.90%EV +0.728%E +0.130%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.08%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.34%EV -0.709%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -11.75%E -7.58%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 14:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -12.88%E -8.42%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -11.75%E -7.58%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.25%E -0.227%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-06 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -4.84%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -3.34%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 05:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.74%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 05:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.43%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.62%EV -14.14%E -4.13%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 09:32 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 09:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -10.61%E -6.76%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.02%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 05:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.16%EV -4.34%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -12.92%E -2.66%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.82%E -2.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 07:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.71%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -14.71%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -10.04%E -6.35%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.61%E -3.32%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.41%E -3.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.41%E -3.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.30% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30% | 2.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |