Language:English
Kashima Antlers v Nagoya Grampus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers (Local)
Prediction 49.73%2.01fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.06%49.84%49.75%52.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9957.47%54.60%54.64%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nagoya Grampus (Visit)
Prediction 23.65%4.23fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +0.871%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 4.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.65%23.47%23.68%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.973.954.3927.03%25.18%25.32%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -0.962%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.69%26.57%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.6630.30%28.81%28.57%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 49.73%; Nagoya Grampus (Visit): 23.65%; Draw: 26.62%. For Nagoya Grampus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.65%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.65%EV +3.83%E +0.871%K +1.13%G +0.043% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +0.514%E +0.121%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 23:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.92%EV -0.195%E -0.046%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.43%EV -2.56%E -0.699%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.64%EV -4.22%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 07:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.51%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 08:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 07:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -6.51%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.29%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -5.75%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 08:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 06:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 07:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.74%EV -10.00%E -5.52%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.81%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 08:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.12%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -10.28%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 06:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.31%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 08:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.24%EV -11.49%E -6.45%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.31%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 07:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.06% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 0.0% | 2026-08-15 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |