Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kashima Antlers v Nagoya Grampus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC

Score final : Kashima Antlers 2–1 Nagoya Grampus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kashima Antlers (Local)

Prévision 49.73%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.06%49.84%49.75%52.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.831.831.9957.47%54.60%54.64%50.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nagoya Grampus (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.65%4.23cote équitable
EV +3.83%
Avantage +0.871%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 4.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.65%23.47%23.68%24.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.973.954.3927.03%25.18%25.32%22.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.62%3.76cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.699%
Kelly -0.962%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.60%26.69%26.57%27.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.473.503.6630.30%28.81%28.57%27.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kashima Antlers (Local) : 49.73% ; Nagoya Grampus (Visiteur) : 23.65% ; Match nul : 26.62%. Pour Nagoya Grampus (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.23. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.39, soit une espérance positive de +3.83%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.65%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.65%EV +3.83%E +0.871%K +1.13%G +0.043%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 08:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +0.514%E +0.121%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:49
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.92%EV -0.195%E -0.046%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.43%EV -2.56%E -0.699%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:44
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:45
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:45
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:44
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.64%EV -4.22%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 07:49
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:04
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.51%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:24
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 08:23
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 07:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 08:55
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:49
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -6.51%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 08:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.29%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -5.75%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 08:39
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 06:10
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:54
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 07:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.74%EV -10.00%E -5.52%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.81%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 08:34
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.12%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -10.28%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 06:14
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.31%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 08:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.24%EV -11.49%E -6.45%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.31%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 07:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:05
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.06%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-08-15 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62%0.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62%0.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62%0.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-15 08:55
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-08-15 08:50